| > | | | | apparently it overburdens the system so that |
| The Candlestick patterns in combination with | | | | I’m not able to demonstrate it with a chart. |
| "Western" indicators and Inverse Funds provide a | | | | Text will have to do. |
| powerful trio for helping the investor to protect his | | | | A pretty fair Evening Star Japanese Candlestick |
| portfolio. | | | | pattern arose in the NASDAQ 100 about the middle of |
| Candlesticks as Weapons of Defense | | | | August. The Evening Star is a bearish reversal |
| A gracious hostess will decorate her dining table with | | | | pattern. This formation is identified by a tall (relatively, |
| finery, the best in the house. If she is fortunate | | | | in this case) white candle, followed by a smaller candle, |
| enough to have good chinaware and sterling silver | | | | and then by a tall black candle. The bearish |
| tableware, they will be set in place for her guests. | | | | implications of the Evening Star were fulfilled: prices |
| There will be candles, of course; and the candle | | | | have declined almost without interruption since the |
| holders may well be of silver. Even the candles | | | | pattern formed. If investors who were riding a |
| themselves may be of silver. | | | | substantial price rise had heeded that Evening Star |
| How docile, sumptuous, and elegant the scene: it could | | | | warning back in the middle of August and shorted the |
| be straight out of a 1930’s Hollywood movie. | | | | Index in some way, they would have been able to |
| Perhaps the candlesticks are the ultimate expression | | | | defend their existing portfolio position or, perhaps even |
| of refinement. | | | | better, they would have reversed course and become |
| Have you ever heard of Japanese Candlesticks? | | | | positively Short the Index. |
| You can’t put them on your dining room table, | | | | The second lesson that I would like to draw has to do |
| because they exist only on paper or on your computer | | | | with a very tall black candle which represents price |
| screen. They’re a method of displaying stock | | | | action yesterday, September 29, which was the day |
| prices which was invented centuries ago by a | | | | of the large falloff after the bailout bill failed to pass in |
| Japanese rice trader, who found them to be very | | | | the House of Representatives. Prices in the |
| useful in revealing the trading psychology of his | | | | NASDAQ 100 fell 176 points yesterday, a 10.5% decline |
| competitors, thereby giving him an advantage. The | | | | in one day. However, the share value of the Rydex |
| use of the Candlesticks carries over today to trading in | | | | Inverse NASDAQ 100 Fund rose 9.10% yesterday! (I |
| all financial markets, and their particular ability to | | | | have no connection with Rydex). |
| forecast major reversals of price trend is becoming | | | | That’s not an exact correlation, to be sure. |
| more generally recognized and appreciated. They | | | | The differential may be partly due to the present |
| are especially powerful when used in combination with | | | | restriction on short sales. |
| the so-called Western indicators to which | | | | Even so, had an investor bought shares in the Rydex |
| investors and traders have become accustomed. | | | | Inverse NASDAQ 100 Fund last Friday, September 26, |
| The Candlesticks can serve as weapons of financial | | | | as of market closing yesterday he or she would have |
| defense when they are used in combination with the | | | | substantially neutralized a loss of his or her own |
| indicators and also with Inverse Mutual Funds and | | | | yesterday in the NASDAQ 100 Index, and indirectly in |
| Inverse Exchange-Traded Funds. Many investors are | | | | its components. That’s a defensive weapon |
| fixated on the idea that money can be made in the | | | | at work! |
| stock market only when prices rise. Brokers’ | | | | Had he or she been invested in the NASDAQ 100 |
| mindsets, in particular, are geared to that concept. | | | | before the close of trading on Friday, he or she could |
| Nothing could be further from the truth. | | | | have used the Rydex Inverse NASDAQ 100 Fund as |
| Inverse funds enjoy wide acceptance and are traded | | | | an offensive weapon to garner absolute profits. |
| in large volume. The basic premise which underlies | | | | The moral of the story is that a knowledgeable |
| them is that they gain in value when the stock market | | | | investor will combine available tools into a powerful |
| declines. A direct-ratio inverse fund which is tied to | | | | trading approach: the Japanese Candlesticks to identify |
| the S&P 500 Index, for example, will seek to gain one | | | | trend reversals as they are happening or about to |
| dollar in value for every dollar of decline in the S&P | | | | appear; the Indicators to enhance the accuracy of the |
| 500. A geared, or leveraged, fund of the | | | | Candles; and Inverse Funds in recognition of the fact |
| same type will seek to gain two dollars in value for | | | | that portfolio defense — and profit for |
| every dollar of decline in the S&P 500. | | | | profit’s sake - are readily available through the |
| I would like to show you these two concepts, but | | | | use of Inverse Funds. |